The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season marked the first time in 10 years that no major storm hit the United States, despite several near misses. Policymakers cannot count on that luck continuing. Research consistently shows that the pace of weather- and climate-related natural disasters is increasing, with “billion-dollar” events now happening at least six times more frequently.
For many, a well-functioning national emergency response system can mean the difference between life and death. Between 2025 and 2026, however, the Trump administration significantly degraded the nation’s capacity for responding to natural disasters through a series of unprecedented policy changes at the Federal Emergency Management Agency. Those actions undermined a vital agency and the priorities set for it by Congress, while placing American communities at ever greater risk. To be sure, new leadership at DHS has sought to reverse course in some areas. But delays to vital work linger, and FEMA’s credibility with state and local governments will take time to rebuild.
Congress structured FEMA to coordinate responses to natural disasters. The agency retains bipartisan support in Congress and among voters. As a result, Congress has consistently sought to strengthen FEMA, especially after high-profile events like Hurricane Katrina. Despite that, after initially seeking to abolish FEMA outright, the administration:
- terminated vital federal grants, jeopardizing at least $3 billion in disaster preparedness and mitigation grants that could save $13 for every dollar spent;
- cut FEMA’s workforce by around 17 percent, directly or indirectly, and weighed firing half the agency’s staff, demoralizing remaining staff and undermining their work;
- denied 26 percent of requests for major disaster declarations (required for immediate disaster aid disbursements), up from 12 percent in the previous year; and
- sharply politicized the disaster recovery process, jeopardizing funds in states with Democratic leadership or Democratic representation in Congress and disproportionately denying requests for “declarations” needed to unlock federal aid.
The playbook resembles the administration’s efforts to dismantle other major federal agencies, such as the Department of Education and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. In each, staff and funding cuts significantly compromised the agencies’ ability to perform congressionally required functions.
This article explores the consequences of the administration’s efforts to weaken FEMA, drawing on interviews with experts and disaster preparedness professionals, as well as publicly available data and court documents.
Ultimately, even with recent policy reversals, FEMA entered the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season with major gaps in its capabilities. Absent support from FEMA, state, local, and tribal governments will struggle to prepare for and recover from increasingly expensive natural disasters. States and localities already depend on FEMA for funding and logistical support, with some relying on federal aid to cover more than 90 percent of disaster costs. As natural disasters become increasingly severe and frequent, preparedness and recovery costs inevitably rise. According to one insurance industry report, economic losses from natural disasters in the United States reached $141 billion in 2025. That is more than 20 percent higher than the average annual losses since 2000, even in a year with comparatively fewer hazards.
Set against those risks, an effective FEMA response translates to lives saved and communities protected. In the run-up to Hurricane Sandy, for example, FEMA — in coordination with local and state governments — staged supplies and deployed personnel on the ground, and the president signed emergency declarations before and after the storm. At the time, the agency drew bipartisan praise for those actions, which included an infusion of $1.4 billion in aid to 182,000 people across states from New Jersey to Connecticut. Today, FEMA’s capacity for a similar intervention is in doubt.